Colts vs. Steelers odds, spread, line: Monday Night Football picks, NFL predictions from advanced model

The Indianapolis Colts will try to jump back into the NFL playoff picture with a win on Monday Night Football when they take on the equally-desperate Pittsburgh Steelers. The Colts (4-6-1), who entered the weekend three games behind first-place Tennessee, would move closer to the final Wild Card spot with a victory. The Steelers (3-7) haven’t finished under .500 in nearly 20 years, but could improve their playoff prospects with a win as well. Pittsburgh’s last losing season was in 2003.

Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Indianapolis is a two-point favorite in the latest Colts vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 39.5. Before locking in any Steelers vs. Colts picks or NFL bets, you have to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Colts vs. Steelers on MNF. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Steelers vs. Colts:

  • Colts vs. Steelers spread: Indianapolis -2
  • Colts vs. Steelers over/under: 39.5 points
  • Colts vs. Steelers money line: Steelers +118, Colts -140
  • PIT: Steelers are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games following an ATS loss
  • IND: Colts are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up loss
  • Colts vs. Steelers: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Colts can cover

Wide receiver Michael Pittman led Indianapolis with six catches for 75 yards in Week 11. He will be looking for his third game in a row with six or more catches and 50 or more receiving yards. Pittman has seven-plus catches and 50-plus receiving yards in four of five home games this season. He also has 55-plus receiving yards in six of seven career games in primetime.

Defensively, linebacker Zaire Franklin led the Colts with 12 tackles and had his first career forced fumble last week against Philadelphia. Franklin will look for his third game in a row with 10 or more tackles and has 11 or more tackles in four of five home games this season. He has a tackle for loss in five of his past six games. Franklin is one of three players in the AFC with six or more games with 10 or more tackles. See which team to pick here.

Why the Steelers can cover

Despite that, the Colts are not a lock to cover the Steelers vs. Colts spread. Steelers rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett passed for 265 yards and a touchdown without an interception for an 85.9 rating in Week 11. He has 25-plus completions in three of his past four starts and is looking for his fourth road start in a row with 25 or more completions. For the season, Pickett has thrown for 1,426 yards and three touchdowns. He has also rushed 29 times for 163 yards (5.6 average) and three TDs.

Running back Najee Harris had a season-high 116 scrimmage yards (90 rushing and 26 receiving) and his first career game with two rushing TDs last week. Harris has 50-plus scrimmage yards in three of his past four games on the road and is looking for his third game in a row with 95 or more yards from scrimmage. Harris has rushed for 550 yards on 148 carries (3.7 average) and three touchdowns. He also has 28 receptions for 138 yards (4.9 average) and two scores. See which team to pick here.

How to make Colts vs. Steelers picks

The model has broken down Monday Night Football’s Steelers vs. Colts matchup from all angles. It is leaning Over the total, with the model projecting 41 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time. See who it is at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Colts on Monday Night Football And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Steelers vs. Colts spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 155-109 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.





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