Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 1, 2022: Fade the Bengals

Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season features a star-studded showdown between the Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Two of the NFL’s most notable quarterbacks will go head-to-head when Tom Brady battles Dak Prescott, so it’s time to start conducting research for your Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks. Are the Buccaneers a lock to beat Dallas, or will the Cowboys spring the upset in Week 1? According to the latest Week 1 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook, the Buccaneers are 1.5-point favorites. Elsewhere on the Week 1 NFL schedule, Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles (-4) take on Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions in a game many will target for their Week 1 NFL knockout pool picks. Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions 

For Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Cincinnati Bengals, even though they are the reigning AFC champions and favored at home over the Pittsburgh Steelers. This division rivalry was lopsided last season, with Cincinnati winning by 41-10 and 24-10.

However, the Steelers have dominated Cincinnati over the years, winning 11 of their last 14 meetings overall. Pittsburgh is also 16-4 in its last 20 games on the road against the Bengals.

Mike Tomlin’s defense features several playmakers who can take over a game, including T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick. Watt has recorded at least 13 sacks in four consecutive campaigns, including a career-high 22.5 last year. The model sees this as a tricky game and no clear-cut victory for the Bengals, so it advises to steer clear of this AFC North rivalry. See which team to pick here.

How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, the model is backing a team that made a quarterback change in the offseason and has had plenty of success against its Week 1 opponent. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.

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